Gulf of Maine Projects
Final Report: Evaluation of the Gulfwatch
Monitoring Program
Gulfwatch Review (cont.)
Data Interpretation
Data Interpretation
One underlying objective of any monitoring program is to make
interpreted information (as opposed to raw data) understandably available
to those who need it for decision-making. The production of a data table
of analytical results is a small part of the monitoring program. To assure
that data are properly used for management decisions, it must be interpreted
in the context of the management question asked, taking into consideration
relevant environmental complexities. Interpretation of contaminant data
will require synoptic information on physical, chemical and biological
processes that affect the degradation and transport of these contaminants.
Information such as currents, tidal stage, temperature, salinity, light
penetration as well as other parameters will be necessary to place contaminant
concentration data in an environmental context. Given existing Gulfwatch
spatial and temporal sampling schedules, unknown natural variability and
present analytical skills, trend detection should only be expected where
order-of-magnitude differences are observed. In the recommended program
reassessment, Gulfwatch can certainly increase the level of detail of
any of these issues but this improvement will come at a cost and should
be undertaken only for specific reason.
Data Storage and Security
This important subject is not addressed in Gulfwatch reports.
Data storage, on multiple media and in more than one location, is essential
for long-term security. Sample archives (tissue and extracts) are also
"data" and their secure storage should be seriously considered
(and the archiving expense seriously addressed). Is there currently a
provision for archiving samples for the long-term? Old samples could be
invaluable to assess the magnitude and history of changes in contaminants
that are not detectable with present analytical tools or not measured
because the linkage with adverse biological effects have not yet been
identified. Old samples also represent point-in-time analytical opportunities
that cannot be repeated. This issue is admittedly beyond the scope of
the present Gulfwatch program but should be incorporated into their long-range
planning.
Interpretation in Context of Management Question Asked
Data collected in a monitoring program ideally focuses on a specific
management question asked. Research programs may complement and supplement
the program database, but the focus of program interpretation should remain
on clearly stated management issues. As discussed above, the interpretation
of monitoring data must include awareness of natural system complexities,
natural variability and scientific uncertainty. Gulfwatch efforts have
not maintained this focus as rigorously as it could have. One underlying
objective of a monitoring program is to make information (as opposed to
raw data) understandably available to those who require it for decision-making.
One mechanism to maintain this focus is to give a high priority (and sufficient
program resources) to data visualization. Spreadsheets of raw data are
not normally useful to resource managers and significant program effort
should be directed toward this goal. At this point in time, Gulfwatch
is playing "catch-up" with the release and interpretation of
monitoring data. The draft 5-year retrospective report (Jones et al, in
prep) is the major vehicle to accomplish this and should be given top
priority (discussion of this 5-year report follows below).
This particular criticism of data interpretation needs to be placed
in perspective because the program has achieved goals that also are not
adequately highlighted in reports reviewed. Two "management question"
are: "What are the region-scale trends in chemical contaminants over
a decadal time frame?" and "Is there a significant change in
environmental concentration of selected chemical contaminants?" Gulfwatch
has produced a baseline of contaminant distribution information that is
essential to address these management questions. Due credit must be given
for this result and review panel recommendations made to modify the program
should not obscure this basic success.
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